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RIBA announces latest results of the Future Trends Survey


12 March 2009

Press office contact:

Mina Vadon
T: +44 (0)207 307 3761
E: mina.vadon@riba.org

The Royal Institute of British Architects (RIBA) today announces the February 2009 results of its monthly Future Trends Survey, demonstrating further evidence of a decreasing workload for architects.

46 per cent of all respondents expected their workloads to decline over the next three months, compared to 39 per cent last month; only 16 per cent predicted an increase and 39 per cent believed they would stay the same. As in January's survey results, the Public Sector remained the top area that practices aimed to procure work from, although there was an evident lack of optimism compared to last month's figures. 55 per cent of practices expected Public Sector work to stay the same (compared to 60 per cent last month) and only 20 per cent predicted an increase (compared to 27 per cent last month). The most significant drop in confidence was amongst those practices with commercial workloads; 52 per cent predicted a decrease in workload compared to 44 per cent in the January results.


In terms of redundancies and staff retention, 62 per cent of all practices expected staff levels to remain constant over the next three months, compared to 72 per cent in January, suggesting a worsening outlook for salaried architects' employment prospects. There is a rise in the number of practices expecting staff numbers to be cut, increasing from 24 per cent in January to 35 per cent in February. The picture also appears to have improved slightly for smaller practices, particularly sole practitioners, who are now less likely to be under employed (33 per cent) compared to 47 per cent in January. Large practices are consistently busier than small practices, with only 17 per cent reporting that they were still underemployed.


The statistical analysis of the survey enables the RIBA to regularly report on two key confidence tracking indices relating to future workloads and staffing levels. For February 2009, the RIBA Future Trends Workload Index is -30 (compared to - 29 in January 2009) and the RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index is -32 (compared to -20 in January 2009).


In response to the latest results, Adrian Dobson, RIBA Director of Practice said:

"The latest results from the RIBA Future Trends survey paint a picture of an architects' profession which is now very cautious about future workloads. This is reflected most strikingly in the reduction in the RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index to -32. This caution is shared across all practice sizes, and practices are faced with the difficult balance of controlling costs and maintaining cash flow, whilst retaining the skills and resources to assure service levels and support future activity. At the present time only practices in the South of England (not including London) are confident that they will be able to maintain their current permanent staffing levels. The RIBA is focusing its CPD provision on assisting architects to respond to the current economic environment by strengthening and diversifying their skills base.


Whilst public sector work was forecast to be stronger than in the housing and commercial sectors, the practices in our survey are no longer predicting an overall increase in public sector workload for architects, perhaps reflecting a perception that the government is struggling to accelerate the various major public sector capital programmes. The recent announcement by the Government of additional funding sources to support existing PFI schemes in achieving financial close is very positive, but further action will be required to achieve the Government's ambitions for accelerated capital spending to support the economy. The RIBA continues to lobby strongly for more direct exchequer funding for capital projects."

Notes to editors

  1. For further information please contact Mina Vadon in the RIBA Press Office on 020 7307 3761 or email mina.vadon@inst.riba.org
  2. Completed by a mix of small, medium and large firms based on a geographically representative sample, the survey was launched in January 2009 to monitor business and employment trends affecting the architects' profession.
  3. To participate in the RIBA Future Trends Survey, please contact the RIBA Practice Department on 020 7307 3749 or email practice@inst.riba.org . The survey takes approximately five minutes to complete each month, and all returns are independently processed in strict confidence by our partners the Fees Bureau.
  4. The definition for the workload balance figure is the difference between those expecting more work and those expecting less. A negative figure means more respondents expect less work than those expecting more work.  This figure is used to represent the "RIBA Future Trends Workload Index", which for February 2009 is therefore -30.
  5. The definition for the staffing balance figure is the difference between those expecting to employ more permanent staff in the next three months and those expecting to employ fewer. A negative figure means more respondents expect to employ fewer permanent staff. This figure is used to represent the "RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index", which for February 2009 is therefore -32.


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